Madden Sim Betting
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Simulated Sports Betting Rules at Sportsbooks All results are determined by a completely random computer simulation. Games must be fully completed for bets to have action. If for any reason the game goes offline, it will restart where it left off once the connection is back. As a point of clarification, there is a difference in what “sports sim” or “video game sim” means in the context of betting compared to the context of video gaming itself. Any popular sports video game franchise – like Madden or NBA2K or FIFA – can be considered a sports sim, but for recreation, gamers actually take control and play.
*Madden Sim Betting Tips
*Madden Sim Betting Odds
*Madden Sim Betting Picks
*Golden Sim Madden Betting
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at many legal sports betting sites. When it comes to football sims, legal online Madden betting websites rely on the best software available on the market: EA’s Madden 21.
The game first began on the personal computer in 1988 when former NFL head coach and television football analyst John Madden lent his name to the franchise. It went on to become the highest selling and most popular NFL video game series of all time, with versions released on over thirty different gaming platforms and counting.
Sportsbooks have developed software to use for virtual sports betting in other athletic categories, but the authentic replication of the game of professional football presented by the Madden franchise is the best available. If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em, and betting sites across the web already have. If you want to huddle up with the number-one football betting sim on the market, read our short playbook!2021 NFL Pro Bowl To Be Played Using Madden 21
During the week of January 25-31, there will be several online games of Madden 21 that will be played by celebrities, gamers, retired NFL legends, and the actual Pro Bowl players themselves. These events will take the place of the live Pro Bowl due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
On January 31, the 2021 Pro Bowl odds will be active as this year’s top NFL players will compete virtually using the video game versions of themselves on Madden 21. This places the Pro Bowl within the realm of betting on eSports, and will also be of great interest to those that wager on sport sims odds.Is It Legal To Bet On Madden Sims and eSports?
Domestic sportsbooks have been hesitant to offer Madden sim betting or eSports odds, but these games are growing in popularity and certainly have the possibility of becoming a land-based option before long. The best option at this time is to bet on Madden games online with one of the legitimate offshore sportsbooks that are recommended on this page.
There are are no US federal gambling laws prohibiting betting on games like Madden 21, and there are no US States outside of CT and WA that restrict gambling offshore at reputable betting sites that offer esports and sports sims betting action.
As for Washington and Connecticut, these states have passed legislation that outlaws all online gambling, but we’ve yet to hear of any fines or arrests related to offshore sports betting or gambling, and all the best betting sites accept members from inside their borders. Still, if you live in either state, you must sign up and wager only at your own risk.Most Trusted Madden Online Betting SitesSite NameCurrent BonusU.S.Visit Site50% Max $250Visit Site
Review250% Max $1,000Visit Site
Review350% Max $1,000Visit Site
Review4100% Max $500Visit Site
ReviewHow To Bet On Madden 21
Video game simulations and eSports competitions are the two ways to bet on Madden games at online sportsbooks. Both varieties of Madden 21 betting are similar, but there are some key differences that separate the two, and we detail those below.Madden Video Game Simulations
Offshore sites host games and tournaments featuring NFL video game sims betting using the latest Madden video game as the software backend. The competitions are set to simulation mode with no human players involved. Weather condition settings can vary, as can quarter lengths, all of which will be disclosed to bettors before the contests start.
Video streams of Madden sims are sometimes available on betting sites themselves, but usually, these books use popular video streaming websites like Twitch. Games are shown in their entirety and feature live betting odds that update throughout the contest.
Other traditional football betting options such as spreads, props, straight winners, and totals are also offered. Odds are calculated based on the performance indicators of the teams and players selected for use in the simulated football games and draw from their real-life counterparts’ current metrics. For example, the Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 54, which makes them the best team in Madden 21 (barring injury to cover boy Patrick Mahomes, who hopefully won’t experience the dreaded “Madden Curse”).Madden 21 eSports
Although eSports have been a longtime option at online sportsbooks, they have just recently emerged into the legal sports betting limelight as a legitimate possibility. eSports are competitions between human gamers that compete using a variety of popular video game franchise titles.
When it comes to betting on eSports for football, Madden is the only game on the map. Any variety of settings can be chosen for play, such as weather and length of quarters, and all of that is factored into Madden eSports betting odds. Sportsbooks also analyze the skillset of the gamers as a vital influence in their oddsmaking process.
Typical football betting lines and props are available, as well as live betting chances. Games are shown in full via a video streaming site (Twitch, YouTube, etc.) or the eSports league’s official website, and contests are sometimes hosted at large arenas, attracting huge crowds.Which States Allow Legal Betting on Madden 21?
Madden 21 fans can legally bet on Madden sims and esports from almost all states at any of the recommended sportsbooks listed on this page. The exceptions are CT and WA, both of which have restrictions regarding all online betting. No other states prohibit this type of betting entertainment in their state laws.
As far as state-regulated options, there are a few states that have specifically legalized local esports betting, though the range of betting options will vary by state and by sportsbook, hence Madden 21 lines are not guaranteed. The following states offer domestically licensed esports betting:
*Colorado
*Nevada
*New Jersey
*Tennessee
*Virginia
*West Virginia
*WashingtonStates Where Betting on Madden 21 Locally is Illegal
Only one region bans any type of state-regulated esports betting, and that is Indiana. Most states simply have not addressed the topic. However, esports fans in Indiana and most other states still have the option of online esports betting at the sportsbooks featured in the table above.Best Legal Madden 21 Betting Apps
Unlike the apps that are available at the Google Play Store and Apple’s App Store, the web apps that major sportsbook sites use for Madden online betting don’t require a download. An up-to-date mobile web browser such as Opera, Firefox, Google Chrome, or Safari is all that is needed for a 50-yard-line season ticket to the best Madden betting apps on the market.
When using your mobile device, you sportsbook’s presentation will automatically adjust to fit any screen size. Just navigate to the eSports or video game simulation section of the betting site, and everything just works, whether you’re using an iPhone, iPad, Android device, or any other tablet. Madden betting on the go is easier than a chip-shot field goal with the web apps offered by the premium sportsbooks recommended on this page.Live Betting on Madden Games
Because the full duration of the contest is shown for Madden eSports and simulated games, it allows for live betting odds that are updated throughout the contests. If you’ve wagered on a prop bet that has already failed, get back in the game (et tu, EA?) and bet on the leader after three quarters or on updated winner odds. Other simulated varieties of football, such as virtual sports, show abbreviated team contests that don’t allow for live betting, but with Madden 21, you can wager all game long!Madden Sim Betting TipsMadden Betting FAQs
Unless you are in Washington or Connecticut, then no, you are not at risk for violating any state or federal laws by placing bets online at one of the licensed online sportsbooks offering this type of action. All of the sports betting sites you see on this page are licensed individually or they operate under the credentials of their parent company.
(State officials in WA and CT do not enforce their restrictions for online betting, but it is technically prohibited.)
While we cannot speak for sites other than the ones listed in our recommendations, we can tell you that each of the destinations we feature is operating legally within the industry, they provide a safe and secure betting environment, and they are among the most trusted and reputable brands in the business.
For those bettors fortunate enough to also have access to the few state-regulated esports and sports sim betting opportunities that are available, you can shop for the best lines and odds from both domestic and offshore sportsbooks.
Madden games typically debut with a manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP) of $59.99, though you can often find specials depending on which store or platform you’re using. As time draws nearer to the next Madden release, the “old” version’s price will drop significantly, with a floor of about $19.99. There are also in-game downloads of varying prices that are offered throughout the season.
Madden 20 cross-platform options include Sony’s PlayStation 4 (PS4), Microsoft’s Xbox One (XB1), and personal computer (PC). The new Madden Game that comes out in the fall should be supported by the above as well as the Xbox Series X and PlayStation 5.
The Yard is a new mode in Madden 21 where traditional rules are thrown out the window. While this mode will take some getting used to, it is one of the best new features of Madden 21.
Our staff is not superstitious, but one cannot ignore the glut of bad luck that has affected the cover athletes for Madden video games. Although there have been a few players who have avoided the curse and gone on to great success during their “Madden season,” most of the time, things don’t go well for the cover boy. Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is on the cover of Madden 20 and his team won the Super Bowl, but the Curse can last longer than a single campaign, so the jury’s still out.
John Madden (BOOM!) was the head coach of the NFL’s Oakland Raiders from 1969 until 1978 (BANG!) and led them to a victory in Super Bowl XI (POW!). Following his retirement, Madden became a popular analyst on the main national NFL telecast each Sunday afternoon. He lent his name to a fledgling football video game franchise in 1988 that was originally called John Madden Football. It is now the most popular football video gaming franchise on the planet.
John Madden was elected to the NFL Hall of Fame as a coach in 2006, but everyone will always remember him for his colorful sayings (he’s basically the Yogi Berra of football) and his even more colorful scribblings on the screen during live broadcasts.
Although there has been no official release date declared by EA for when Madden 22 will be released, each year’s new game typically debuts in early August, just before the NFL regular season begins.Simulated Sports MenuMadden Sim Betting OddsAlt Sports MenuAlt Sports News
*NFL Sim Bowl odds favor Ravens to win 1st Madden 20 AI-only tourney
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
*No sports? Bet on Madden 20 and NBA 2K20 simulations instead.
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
*Nevada sportsbooks suffer massive revenue loss from sports-less March
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
*Esports betting sites receive huge buff during coronavirus patch
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
When COVID-19 struck and took away virtually all sports for almost a month, those in both the daily fantasy and betting community were starving for something to play. Something to bet on. People were searching so hard for something to get an edge on, people started literally betting on what the weather would be the next day. Let’s explore more about how to predict Madden simulations!
Thankfully we currently live in a golden age of video games, where there is a virtual representation of any sport you can think of. One of the first “sports” back on live TV was real NASCAR drivers playing a video game called iRacing. Millions of people tuned in at home to watch drivers compete in a virtual race.
The next step forward after virtual racing? Virtual NFL.
Quickly, both sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites like DraftKings and FanDuel started adding games related to simulations of NFL games played in Madden. These Madden games would be streamed lived on Twitch for people to watch and, more importantly, bet on.
With almost nothing else to play on DraftKings or FanDuel, people could now start creating lineups for these virtual NFL games that were going to happen for the day. People could select Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson along with New Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara when the Ravens faced the Saints in the 2:30pm Twitch stream.
While this might have been a fun gimmick, something to do during quarantine, daily fantasy sites and sportsbooks alike still offered these games, even during the regular NFL season. But with this rise in popularity, many people starting asking about a potentially obvious flaw with betting of video game results: isn’t there a way to predict Madden simulations?Could I Just Not Play the Games Myself?Madden Sim Betting Picks
If one had a copy of Madden 21 on their favorite gaming console, what was to stop them from playing the games the day before the Twitch stream? They could use the results of their own play session to make accurate predictions on how both to build a fantasy lineups and bet on the outcome of the game.
The biggest hurdle to this though is that there are different ways to simulate a Madden game. On Twitch, the games will be played out all the way, computer versus computer. We will watch every play unfold, and we will watch the AI of the game make decisions that determine the outcome of the simulation.
The problem in trying to replicate these results is that to get any significant data, one would have to at least play 30 games themselves. If a game takes about an hour to play itself, that would be 30 hours per matchup. If there are five games on the slate on DraftKings the next day, one would have to do about 150 hours worth of playing to get anywhere close to valid results.
This is not possible. At least for one person to do.Why Not Just Simulate Games Then?
Simulation, instead of actually playing out the games, is the method many have tried in attempting to get an edge in daily fantasy. One could just create a quick matchup between the two teams, hop into the game, and use the “quick sim” feature to finish the game in about one minute. The main problem with this, and why people who have tried it usually end up with unreliable data, is that simulation produces very very wonky results in Madden.
For starters, “quick sim” makes both the offense and defense much more efficient in all aspects. If the game is played out normally between two computer players, each team usually gets 1-2 drives in a quarter. Sometimes three if a team scores quick or there is a turnover. In the simulation? That number can easily jump up to 4-5 drives a quarter. Per team.
This comes from the fact that “home run plays” are much more common in the simulation. Touchdowns are much more common off of turnovers, long passes, breakaway runs, and kick returns. So when the number of plays in a simulation are easily double that of the actual play of the game, the simulated stats tend to be much higher and much more exaggerated.
Another downside to using simulations is that it actually does a better job simulating player performance than the normal gameplay. During normal gameplay, usually only the extremes are noticed and factor into a given play. Only the fastest of the fastest players can outrun defenders. Have a wideout with 93 speed rating? He isn’t out running the defensive backs on any play. Only the wideouts with 97+ speed regularly do so.
Because of this, simulating Madden games gives almost no valid data to use in daily fantasy for Twitch streamed games. The best way to get good data would let the game play out over and over, but again, that would take over 100 hours. Is There Any Strategy I Can Use Then?Golden Sim Madden Betting
Despite not being able to simulate games to get predictable data, or the fact that the Madden game is so random in its results, there are some key strategies you can use to get an advantage over the average player. Barstool sports discount.Use A Running QB
Just like real fantasy football, the running QBs are the bread and butter of solid daily fantasy lineups. But unlike real football, the QBs in Madden don’t care if they run full speed into a 300-pound defender and could possibly have a career ending injury. Mobile QBs controlled by the computer in Madden run at the literal first sight of trouble. This means they are basically getting RB numbers, with still having the upside of throwing a TD.Use A Top 5 RB
Unlike normal daily fantasy, there is no such thing as a “value play” for RBs in these simulations. Like I said about only the best of the best players standing out on the field, this couldn’t be more true for the RBs. Only the top RBs are able to break a single tackle, or produce a rush for more than seven yards. There are no handcuffs in Madden, don’t get a backup RB hoping he will steal a red zone TV. If a team has a stud RB, they will use him for every play of the game.Defense Is Random
This isn’t just your typical random results we see on a Sunday with any defense. The best of the best defenses in Madden can get destroyed with one WR or RB with a high speed number. The best of the best QBs will throw the stupidest interceptions. You can help yourself by picking a borderline random mid-salary defense to avoid the chalk, and hopefully get a random TD.Final Thoughts on How to Predict Madden Simulations
If a group of people had the time and resources to play out hundreds and hundreds of Madden games, I would love to hear the results of those playthroughs. Maybe if 20 people banded together and dedicated their weekends to this, they could possibly produce reliable data that could help them destroy daily fantasy. But unless you have those reso
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Simulated Sports Betting Rules at Sportsbooks All results are determined by a completely random computer simulation. Games must be fully completed for bets to have action. If for any reason the game goes offline, it will restart where it left off once the connection is back. As a point of clarification, there is a difference in what “sports sim” or “video game sim” means in the context of betting compared to the context of video gaming itself. Any popular sports video game franchise – like Madden or NBA2K or FIFA – can be considered a sports sim, but for recreation, gamers actually take control and play.
*Madden Sim Betting Tips
*Madden Sim Betting Odds
*Madden Sim Betting Picks
*Golden Sim Madden Betting
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at many legal sports betting sites. When it comes to football sims, legal online Madden betting websites rely on the best software available on the market: EA’s Madden 21.
The game first began on the personal computer in 1988 when former NFL head coach and television football analyst John Madden lent his name to the franchise. It went on to become the highest selling and most popular NFL video game series of all time, with versions released on over thirty different gaming platforms and counting.
Sportsbooks have developed software to use for virtual sports betting in other athletic categories, but the authentic replication of the game of professional football presented by the Madden franchise is the best available. If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em, and betting sites across the web already have. If you want to huddle up with the number-one football betting sim on the market, read our short playbook!2021 NFL Pro Bowl To Be Played Using Madden 21
During the week of January 25-31, there will be several online games of Madden 21 that will be played by celebrities, gamers, retired NFL legends, and the actual Pro Bowl players themselves. These events will take the place of the live Pro Bowl due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
On January 31, the 2021 Pro Bowl odds will be active as this year’s top NFL players will compete virtually using the video game versions of themselves on Madden 21. This places the Pro Bowl within the realm of betting on eSports, and will also be of great interest to those that wager on sport sims odds.Is It Legal To Bet On Madden Sims and eSports?
Domestic sportsbooks have been hesitant to offer Madden sim betting or eSports odds, but these games are growing in popularity and certainly have the possibility of becoming a land-based option before long. The best option at this time is to bet on Madden games online with one of the legitimate offshore sportsbooks that are recommended on this page.
There are are no US federal gambling laws prohibiting betting on games like Madden 21, and there are no US States outside of CT and WA that restrict gambling offshore at reputable betting sites that offer esports and sports sims betting action.
As for Washington and Connecticut, these states have passed legislation that outlaws all online gambling, but we’ve yet to hear of any fines or arrests related to offshore sports betting or gambling, and all the best betting sites accept members from inside their borders. Still, if you live in either state, you must sign up and wager only at your own risk.Most Trusted Madden Online Betting SitesSite NameCurrent BonusU.S.Visit Site50% Max $250Visit Site
Review250% Max $1,000Visit Site
Review350% Max $1,000Visit Site
Review4100% Max $500Visit Site
ReviewHow To Bet On Madden 21
Video game simulations and eSports competitions are the two ways to bet on Madden games at online sportsbooks. Both varieties of Madden 21 betting are similar, but there are some key differences that separate the two, and we detail those below.Madden Video Game Simulations
Offshore sites host games and tournaments featuring NFL video game sims betting using the latest Madden video game as the software backend. The competitions are set to simulation mode with no human players involved. Weather condition settings can vary, as can quarter lengths, all of which will be disclosed to bettors before the contests start.
Video streams of Madden sims are sometimes available on betting sites themselves, but usually, these books use popular video streaming websites like Twitch. Games are shown in their entirety and feature live betting odds that update throughout the contest.
Other traditional football betting options such as spreads, props, straight winners, and totals are also offered. Odds are calculated based on the performance indicators of the teams and players selected for use in the simulated football games and draw from their real-life counterparts’ current metrics. For example, the Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 54, which makes them the best team in Madden 21 (barring injury to cover boy Patrick Mahomes, who hopefully won’t experience the dreaded “Madden Curse”).Madden 21 eSports
Although eSports have been a longtime option at online sportsbooks, they have just recently emerged into the legal sports betting limelight as a legitimate possibility. eSports are competitions between human gamers that compete using a variety of popular video game franchise titles.
When it comes to betting on eSports for football, Madden is the only game on the map. Any variety of settings can be chosen for play, such as weather and length of quarters, and all of that is factored into Madden eSports betting odds. Sportsbooks also analyze the skillset of the gamers as a vital influence in their oddsmaking process.
Typical football betting lines and props are available, as well as live betting chances. Games are shown in full via a video streaming site (Twitch, YouTube, etc.) or the eSports league’s official website, and contests are sometimes hosted at large arenas, attracting huge crowds.Which States Allow Legal Betting on Madden 21?
Madden 21 fans can legally bet on Madden sims and esports from almost all states at any of the recommended sportsbooks listed on this page. The exceptions are CT and WA, both of which have restrictions regarding all online betting. No other states prohibit this type of betting entertainment in their state laws.
As far as state-regulated options, there are a few states that have specifically legalized local esports betting, though the range of betting options will vary by state and by sportsbook, hence Madden 21 lines are not guaranteed. The following states offer domestically licensed esports betting:
*Colorado
*Nevada
*New Jersey
*Tennessee
*Virginia
*West Virginia
*WashingtonStates Where Betting on Madden 21 Locally is Illegal
Only one region bans any type of state-regulated esports betting, and that is Indiana. Most states simply have not addressed the topic. However, esports fans in Indiana and most other states still have the option of online esports betting at the sportsbooks featured in the table above.Best Legal Madden 21 Betting Apps
Unlike the apps that are available at the Google Play Store and Apple’s App Store, the web apps that major sportsbook sites use for Madden online betting don’t require a download. An up-to-date mobile web browser such as Opera, Firefox, Google Chrome, or Safari is all that is needed for a 50-yard-line season ticket to the best Madden betting apps on the market.
When using your mobile device, you sportsbook’s presentation will automatically adjust to fit any screen size. Just navigate to the eSports or video game simulation section of the betting site, and everything just works, whether you’re using an iPhone, iPad, Android device, or any other tablet. Madden betting on the go is easier than a chip-shot field goal with the web apps offered by the premium sportsbooks recommended on this page.Live Betting on Madden Games
Because the full duration of the contest is shown for Madden eSports and simulated games, it allows for live betting odds that are updated throughout the contests. If you’ve wagered on a prop bet that has already failed, get back in the game (et tu, EA?) and bet on the leader after three quarters or on updated winner odds. Other simulated varieties of football, such as virtual sports, show abbreviated team contests that don’t allow for live betting, but with Madden 21, you can wager all game long!Madden Sim Betting TipsMadden Betting FAQs
Unless you are in Washington or Connecticut, then no, you are not at risk for violating any state or federal laws by placing bets online at one of the licensed online sportsbooks offering this type of action. All of the sports betting sites you see on this page are licensed individually or they operate under the credentials of their parent company.
(State officials in WA and CT do not enforce their restrictions for online betting, but it is technically prohibited.)
While we cannot speak for sites other than the ones listed in our recommendations, we can tell you that each of the destinations we feature is operating legally within the industry, they provide a safe and secure betting environment, and they are among the most trusted and reputable brands in the business.
For those bettors fortunate enough to also have access to the few state-regulated esports and sports sim betting opportunities that are available, you can shop for the best lines and odds from both domestic and offshore sportsbooks.
Madden games typically debut with a manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP) of $59.99, though you can often find specials depending on which store or platform you’re using. As time draws nearer to the next Madden release, the “old” version’s price will drop significantly, with a floor of about $19.99. There are also in-game downloads of varying prices that are offered throughout the season.
Madden 20 cross-platform options include Sony’s PlayStation 4 (PS4), Microsoft’s Xbox One (XB1), and personal computer (PC). The new Madden Game that comes out in the fall should be supported by the above as well as the Xbox Series X and PlayStation 5.
The Yard is a new mode in Madden 21 where traditional rules are thrown out the window. While this mode will take some getting used to, it is one of the best new features of Madden 21.
Our staff is not superstitious, but one cannot ignore the glut of bad luck that has affected the cover athletes for Madden video games. Although there have been a few players who have avoided the curse and gone on to great success during their “Madden season,” most of the time, things don’t go well for the cover boy. Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is on the cover of Madden 20 and his team won the Super Bowl, but the Curse can last longer than a single campaign, so the jury’s still out.
John Madden (BOOM!) was the head coach of the NFL’s Oakland Raiders from 1969 until 1978 (BANG!) and led them to a victory in Super Bowl XI (POW!). Following his retirement, Madden became a popular analyst on the main national NFL telecast each Sunday afternoon. He lent his name to a fledgling football video game franchise in 1988 that was originally called John Madden Football. It is now the most popular football video gaming franchise on the planet.
John Madden was elected to the NFL Hall of Fame as a coach in 2006, but everyone will always remember him for his colorful sayings (he’s basically the Yogi Berra of football) and his even more colorful scribblings on the screen during live broadcasts.
Although there has been no official release date declared by EA for when Madden 22 will be released, each year’s new game typically debuts in early August, just before the NFL regular season begins.Simulated Sports MenuMadden Sim Betting OddsAlt Sports MenuAlt Sports News
*NFL Sim Bowl odds favor Ravens to win 1st Madden 20 AI-only tourney
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
*No sports? Bet on Madden 20 and NBA 2K20 simulations instead.
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
*Nevada sportsbooks suffer massive revenue loss from sports-less March
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
*Esports betting sites receive huge buff during coronavirus patch
Simulated sports are a developing trend in online wagering and are a highlight at..
When COVID-19 struck and took away virtually all sports for almost a month, those in both the daily fantasy and betting community were starving for something to play. Something to bet on. People were searching so hard for something to get an edge on, people started literally betting on what the weather would be the next day. Let’s explore more about how to predict Madden simulations!
Thankfully we currently live in a golden age of video games, where there is a virtual representation of any sport you can think of. One of the first “sports” back on live TV was real NASCAR drivers playing a video game called iRacing. Millions of people tuned in at home to watch drivers compete in a virtual race.
The next step forward after virtual racing? Virtual NFL.
Quickly, both sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites like DraftKings and FanDuel started adding games related to simulations of NFL games played in Madden. These Madden games would be streamed lived on Twitch for people to watch and, more importantly, bet on.
With almost nothing else to play on DraftKings or FanDuel, people could now start creating lineups for these virtual NFL games that were going to happen for the day. People could select Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson along with New Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara when the Ravens faced the Saints in the 2:30pm Twitch stream.
While this might have been a fun gimmick, something to do during quarantine, daily fantasy sites and sportsbooks alike still offered these games, even during the regular NFL season. But with this rise in popularity, many people starting asking about a potentially obvious flaw with betting of video game results: isn’t there a way to predict Madden simulations?Could I Just Not Play the Games Myself?Madden Sim Betting Picks
If one had a copy of Madden 21 on their favorite gaming console, what was to stop them from playing the games the day before the Twitch stream? They could use the results of their own play session to make accurate predictions on how both to build a fantasy lineups and bet on the outcome of the game.
The biggest hurdle to this though is that there are different ways to simulate a Madden game. On Twitch, the games will be played out all the way, computer versus computer. We will watch every play unfold, and we will watch the AI of the game make decisions that determine the outcome of the simulation.
The problem in trying to replicate these results is that to get any significant data, one would have to at least play 30 games themselves. If a game takes about an hour to play itself, that would be 30 hours per matchup. If there are five games on the slate on DraftKings the next day, one would have to do about 150 hours worth of playing to get anywhere close to valid results.
This is not possible. At least for one person to do.Why Not Just Simulate Games Then?
Simulation, instead of actually playing out the games, is the method many have tried in attempting to get an edge in daily fantasy. One could just create a quick matchup between the two teams, hop into the game, and use the “quick sim” feature to finish the game in about one minute. The main problem with this, and why people who have tried it usually end up with unreliable data, is that simulation produces very very wonky results in Madden.
For starters, “quick sim” makes both the offense and defense much more efficient in all aspects. If the game is played out normally between two computer players, each team usually gets 1-2 drives in a quarter. Sometimes three if a team scores quick or there is a turnover. In the simulation? That number can easily jump up to 4-5 drives a quarter. Per team.
This comes from the fact that “home run plays” are much more common in the simulation. Touchdowns are much more common off of turnovers, long passes, breakaway runs, and kick returns. So when the number of plays in a simulation are easily double that of the actual play of the game, the simulated stats tend to be much higher and much more exaggerated.
Another downside to using simulations is that it actually does a better job simulating player performance than the normal gameplay. During normal gameplay, usually only the extremes are noticed and factor into a given play. Only the fastest of the fastest players can outrun defenders. Have a wideout with 93 speed rating? He isn’t out running the defensive backs on any play. Only the wideouts with 97+ speed regularly do so.
Because of this, simulating Madden games gives almost no valid data to use in daily fantasy for Twitch streamed games. The best way to get good data would let the game play out over and over, but again, that would take over 100 hours. Is There Any Strategy I Can Use Then?Golden Sim Madden Betting
Despite not being able to simulate games to get predictable data, or the fact that the Madden game is so random in its results, there are some key strategies you can use to get an advantage over the average player. Barstool sports discount.Use A Running QB
Just like real fantasy football, the running QBs are the bread and butter of solid daily fantasy lineups. But unlike real football, the QBs in Madden don’t care if they run full speed into a 300-pound defender and could possibly have a career ending injury. Mobile QBs controlled by the computer in Madden run at the literal first sight of trouble. This means they are basically getting RB numbers, with still having the upside of throwing a TD.Use A Top 5 RB
Unlike normal daily fantasy, there is no such thing as a “value play” for RBs in these simulations. Like I said about only the best of the best players standing out on the field, this couldn’t be more true for the RBs. Only the top RBs are able to break a single tackle, or produce a rush for more than seven yards. There are no handcuffs in Madden, don’t get a backup RB hoping he will steal a red zone TV. If a team has a stud RB, they will use him for every play of the game.Defense Is Random
This isn’t just your typical random results we see on a Sunday with any defense. The best of the best defenses in Madden can get destroyed with one WR or RB with a high speed number. The best of the best QBs will throw the stupidest interceptions. You can help yourself by picking a borderline random mid-salary defense to avoid the chalk, and hopefully get a random TD.Final Thoughts on How to Predict Madden Simulations
If a group of people had the time and resources to play out hundreds and hundreds of Madden games, I would love to hear the results of those playthroughs. Maybe if 20 people banded together and dedicated their weekends to this, they could possibly produce reliable data that could help them destroy daily fantasy. But unless you have those reso
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